|
The U.S. steel
industry in many respects is the backbone of the construction
industry in this country, supplying plate, shapes and
structural members for all kinds of projects. So the
ripples spread far and wide when it is in trouble, as
it is now. It is not the first time. The steel industry
has a history of booms and busts, many of them self-inflicted.
But things are different this time and the steel industry
deserves a more sympathetic hearing than in the past,
but not an open federal checkbook.
During the last great crisis
in 1974, the industry was inefficient and dependent
on antiquated technology. Since then, the industry has
reduced its work force from 500,000 to 141,000 and invested
$60 billion in modernization. Highly efficient minimills,
which make steel from scrap, also increased their market
share from 20% of total U.S. production to 50%.
Today, the U.S. steel industry
is one of the most efficient in the world, with productivity
that matches that of Germany and Japan. That is what
makes the current crisis so troubling. "If you are inefficient
and losing money, you know what to do. But if you are
efficient and losing money, you are in trouble," says
John Anton, steel analyst for DRI-WEFA.
The current crisis was triggered
by outside events. The Asian financial collapse of 1997,
followed by a similar crisis in Russia and Latin America,
dried up world demand for steel. Desperate foreign producers
turned to the U.S. as a market of last resort. Despite
healthy sales volume, the surge in imports drove prices
below costs, eventually forcing 34 U.S. steel companies
into bankruptcy, affecting 35% of total U.S. capacity.
Domestic producers claim steel imports were being "dumped"
in the U.S. and that foreign competitors were resorting
to unfair trade practices.
The controversial issue of
dumping and unfair trade aside, having such a large
percentage of U.S. capacity at risk raises national
security issues at a time when security is at the top
of the nation's agenda. Some specialty steel used for
military applications was created through joint research
and development between the Dept. of Defense and domestic
steel producers. This proprietary technology can't be
transferred overseas. Domestic steel mills need a large
volume of commercial business in order to support the
relatively low, but critical, levels of steel needed
for defense.
President Bush responded
to the steel crisis by imposing a 30% tariff on imports
last March. Tariff protection will last three years
and be ratcheted down to 24% next year and 18% in 2004.
Tariffs are intended to give U.S. producers time to
restructure and also to create leverage for trade negotiations
aimed at reducing the global overcapacity.
ENR's Third Quarterly Cost
Report shows the tremendous impact the tariffs have
had on prices (see p. 31). Products covered by tariffs
have seen a 41% price increase since last March, while
those excluded had only a 3% price increase. Some economists
say the tariffs may be working too well.
The domestic steel industry
argues that it needs time to consolidate in order to
compete with larger foreign companies. The most significant
proposed merger would combine U.S. Steel Corp., Bethlehem
Steel Corp., Weirton Steel Corp. and Wheeling-Pittsburgh
Steel Corp. But consolidation faces a major hurdle called
"legacy costs." Partly due to its effort to downsize,
the domestic steel industry carries a huge financial
burden in pension and medical costs for its retirees.
And this makes most proposed mergers uneconomical.
The steel industry is lobbying
the federal government to pick up its legacy costs so
that the critical consolidation can go forward. The
industry argues that the government will pay for legacy
costs one way or the other if companies go under and
retirees go on the dole.
We believe the steel industry
raised a legitimate point when it claimed that overseas
producers had an unfair advantage. Many of those producers
are subsidized by and even owned by governments. Like
steel producers in the U.S., they are viewed as a strategic
asset that must be protected. In some cases, they also
are treated as a "status" industry to show the world
that a nation has "made it" economically.
But the U.S. operates under
a free enterprise system and the steel industry can't
have a socialistic bailout and free markets at the same
time. This is what the firms were complaining about
in the first place. We believe that the proposed legacy-cost
bailout is a form of extortion that U.S. taxpayers should
not tolerate. If the remaining steel companies can't
shake off their troubles in bankruptcy at the expense
of their shareholders, then new companies should take
their places. The steelworkers' union retirement package
is one of the most generous in the nation, if not the
world. If it no longer can be supported by current economic
events, then the parties that negotiated it should deal
with it.
The U.S. steel industry must
act quickly because higher prices are luring production
capacity back into the market. Most notably, bankrupt
LTV Corp. has reappeared as the International Steel
Group, bringing back 4 million tons a year of steel
with it. Through the bankruptcy courts, ISG shed its
"legacy costs," eliminated excess capacity and won work-rule
concessions from the unions. It is now in a position
to undercut other U.S. mills on price. Supply, demand
and price is what capitalism comes down to, sooner or
later. Big steel basically got what it wanted, and has
to live with it.
|