The joint U.S.-Canadian
task force investigating the Aug. 14 Northeast blackout will
issue an interim report within two weeks with a large amount
of technical information about the causes of the giant power
failure but no policy recommendations.
Instead, according to Energy Secretary
Spencer Abraham, the task force will ask for comment on its
initial findings from the public at a series of meetings and
issue a final report by years end. Abraham says the
power engineering industry will have a chance to have input
in the report following a model used by the National Transportation
Safety Board, which gets industry comments on airplane crashes
before making final reports. Abraham and Canadian Natural
Resources Minister Herb Dhaliwal are co-chairmen of the task
force.
Abraham, who met with Dhaliwal
Oct. 17 in Ottawa to discuss the investigation, stressed that
the initial seven-week "Phase I" had mainly covered
data collection, including gathering records, creating a digital
model of the grid and simulating the blackout events on computers
to test theories about the crash.
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State and federal energy officials
with over 30 technical experts, including power engineers
and computer and security experts, sit on the task force,
which is working under a confidentiality agreement. DOE officials
say the investigation is designed to be "totally neutral"
and to lay the blame for the blackout wherever it belongs.
But because of the complexity of the event there is unlikely
to be one single cause for the blackout, Dhaliwal added. Instead,
he expects to find it was a series of interrelated mistakes.
Under investigation are grid operations,
computer and communications issues, personnel training and
the adequacy of current infrastructure and right-of-way maintenance
procedures. Abraham and Dhaliwal said they are focusing especially
on whether problems arose on Aug. 14 because "voluntary"
rules for grid operation were not followed. They believe that
mandatory standards appeared necessary.
In the U.S., sources say, this
issue is likely to be tackled through language in the pending
energy bill. But the real problem will be applying the rules
in practice, especially in areas such as the Midwest, where
the authority of the Midwest Independent Transmission System
Operator in relation to the utility transmission owners is
weak.
An Oct. 15 letter from the North
American Electric Reliability Council (NERC), Princeton, N.J.,
asked 160 operators of electricity control areas and larger
grids to review their control procedures and report back within
60 days. NERC officials said the Oct. 15 request was "quite
unusual." While NERC has no authority to force its members
to file the reports, the officials said they plan to make
the reports public and hope all will comply to avoid embarrassment.
DOE has said only that there will
be at least two public forums each in the U.S. and Canada
about the Phase II investigation.
Among those sure to comment is
Akron, Ohio-based FirstEnergy Corp. Many of the earliest events
on Aug. 14 occurred in its northern-Ohio operating territory.
FirstEnergy is conducting its own study of the blackout with
a consultant.
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