Dramatically
illustrating the gap between California's demand for electricity
and its generating capacity, the state on Wednesday ordered
long-threatened mandatory rolling blackouts for the first
time since California's energy crisis began last summer.
For weeks the California
Independent System Operator, the Sacramento-based agency that
manages the capacity and flow of the state's power lines,
had staved off blackouts by cobbling together enough energy
from municipal utilities and out-of-state suppliers. But when
reserves dipped below 1.5% early Wednesday, Cal-ISO ordered
utilities in northern California to reduce usage by 500 MW
in 60-minute to 90-minute blackouts. By Wednesday evening
Cal-ISO declared a temporary respite on outages, but warned
that more are likely.
Wednesday's blackouts again pointed
up the continuing inability of the state's power grid to meet
the demand power generated by its growing economy and population.
Cal-ISO estimated Wednesday's projected peak demand at 32,279
Mw, and although the California Energy Commission estimates
the state's theoretical generating capacity at 53,000 Mw,
that figure includes municipal-owned utilities and self-generation
as well as investor-owned utilities, notes Susanne Garfield,
a CEC spokesperson.
A more realistic estimate of the
state's capacity is well under 50,000 Mw, Garfield says. Cal-ISO
estimates that at least 11,000 Mw are currently off line because
of planned or unplanned outages, and additional capacity is
unavailable for a variety of reasons--stretching the state's
reserves to the limit.
As California braced for more
blackouts, the state's two largest investor-owned utilities
veered closer to bankruptcy, and state officials continued
the search for solutions to the crisis. Southern California
Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric are caught between rising
wholesale energy prices and fixed retail prices. This week
the legislature is considering a controversial proposal to
authorize the state to buy electricity and sell it to consumers.