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In addition to pulling
levers that changed the balance of power in Washington, American
voters OK'd nearly $41 billion in construction project financing,
an approval rate not seen since the late 1980s. But that was
little consolation for some high-profile measures on both
sides of the country that fell victim to economic fears and
anti-tax fervor.
The pull of burgeoning populations
propelled school construction funding to close to 70% of the
total, according to The Bond Buyer, an industry publication.
But some initiatives in another usually favored niche--transportation--failed
to win support from wary voters (see chart). In Washington
state, a $7.8-billion transportation referendum was overwhelmingly
defeated. Another taxpayer-led initiative further reduced
state license fees, handing transportation another setback
in an area now known for the nation's second-worst highway
congestion. "Some got through, but some high-profile ones
did not," says Casey Dinges, American Society of Civil Engineers'
senior managing director. Click
here to view chart
CALIFORNIA
California resoundingly
voted "yes" on schools, approving a massive $13.05-billion
construction and modernization bond measure believed to be
the largest ever. "It would be an understatement to say that
the construction community is pleased that [Proposition] 47
passed," says Thomas T. Holsman, executive director of the
Associated General Contractors of California.
Schools will receive
$11.4 billion and another $1.65 billion will be dedicated
to the state's university and community college system. Led
by a successful $3.3-billion proposal in Los Angeles, local
bond measures valued at about $7 billion gained approval,
says Tim Coyle, senior vice president for the California Building
Industry Association.
Proposition 47
clears the way for the state to start addressing its immediate
multibillion-dollar construction and modernization backlog,
say industry sources. "There's very little doubt in my mind
that there's going to be a flood of work [hitting] the street
right after the first of the year," says Richard A. Henry,
vice president of educational services for McCarthy, proper
corporate name to come. Districts statewide are expected to
step up their construction programs, and some of the the busiest
regions will be urban and suburban districts in Los Angeles,
Orange County, the San Francisco Bay area, and Southern California's
Riverside and San Bernardino counties.
But the anticipated
glut of work presents both opportunities and pitfalls. Contractors
qualified to meet high construction standards will be at a
premium, and the situation presents "a prime opportunity for
anybody who wanted to get into" the school construction market,
Henry says.
Rushing too many
projects into the marketplace too soon could attract unqualified
contractors and hamper quality control, Henry says. "You can
spend your money really foolishly and inefficiently if all
you're trying to do is show quick results," he says. The volume
of work is likely to raise school construction costs, he says.
State-certified inspectors are already in short supply "without
having all that work hit the street at once," says Henry.
The election results
also bodes well for water projects. A $3.44-billion water
quality and wetlands protection proposal includes $500 million
for water treatment and wetlands restoration, plus $100 million
for desalination and other water projects. San Francisco's
passage of a $1.6-billion bond issue opens the door to a planned
$3.6-billion upgrade of the region's aging Hetch Hetchy water
delivery system.
A $2.1-billion
housing trust fund measure appears likely to unleash pent-up
demand in the low and moderate housing market. The availability
of $1.1 billion in low-interest loans for rental housing construction
and other purposes "will have an impact overnight," says CBIA's
Coyle. Many deals with nonprofit developers are already in
place, lacking only "that last little bit of cash," he says.
Now, Coyle predicts, "you'll see projects being approved all
over the state." The measure earmarks $200 million for farm
workers' housing and $385 million to fund homeless shelters
and other programs.
Transportation-related
measures gained mixed results. Voters rejected a controversial
plan to redirect hundreds of millions of dollars from motor
vehicle sales-tax revenue annually to a grab-bag of transportation
and environmental projects. Critics charged that many donors
to the campaign would have directly benefited from the programs
funded.
Local measures
were a key battleground. Southern California's fast-growing
Riverside County overwhelmingly backed a 30-year sales tax
extension that will raise an estimated $500 billion for a
variety of highway, road, and rail projects. Fresno County
approved a similar measure that could raise $482 million.
A proposed property tax increase intended to raise $1 billion
for a seismic upgrade of the Bay Area Rapid Transit District
voters fell just percentage points short of the required two-thirds
majority in three San Francisco Bay-area counties. These and
other measures tell Holsman that the required two-thirds approval
margin makes such measures "a large uphill battle."
FLORIDA
On the other coast, Florida may
become a construction magnet, with voters in Miami-Dade County
approving a $6.7-billion transportation plan for a rail system
and related projects. The vote saved rapid transit plans in
South Florida, says Virginia Diaz, special assistant to Miami-Dade
transportation director. The tax will fund a $7 billion, 90-mile
expansion of the rail system, $400 million in other capital
transit improvements, and $500 million in road projects. Construction
will begin on phase one of the rail expansion within two years.
"This time we let the community create the solution to the
gridlock," says Sandy O'Neil, special assistant to Miami Mayor
Alex Penelas.
Florida voters also approved a
highly controversial constitutional amendment to cap student
class size. The South Florida chapter of the AGC opposed it
because of its high cost, with estimates as high as $27 billion
through 2010. "It will be good for us, we'll be building billions
of dollars of schools, but no one knows where the money will
come from," says Leonard Mills, executive director. The Haskell
Co., a contractor in Jacksonville, also opposed the measure.
"It likely will require taking money from other programs,"
says a spokesman.
Orange County already has nearly
$1 billion in needs that it funded with increased sales tax.
''I think we will see more and more commissions going to that,''
says Frank Cardinal, vice president of J.A. Jones's Florida
division, which has done $300 million in school work over
five years along the heavily populated I-4 corridor. Contractors
in the market should do well, he says. But newcomers could
have a tough time since most contracts are awarded to construction
managers based on their Florida resumes.
VIRGINIA
Virginia voters rolled over two
initiatives that could have raised $8.8 billion for state
transportation projects. Northern Virginia voters nixed a
plan to raise sales tax by a half cent, Eastern Virginia defeated
a one-cent tax increase by a hefty 62% to 38%. Virginia DOT
is looking to the legislature to take the next step. "The
voters made it very clear they do not want to pay more tax,"
says David Eastwood, chairman of Skanska's unit in Norfolk.
The state is reorganizing now to set up a separate unit to
look at large-dollar projects that could be built with more
private funds, says a DOT spokeswoman.
Fluor Daniel will shift its resources
toward private projects there, says Steve Dobbs, president
of the transportation business unit. The company has a proposal
in now to add four lanes to the Washington Beltway, free HOV
lanes that lone drivers could use for a toll.
OREGON
Two ballot measures in Oregon to
provide funding for seismic upgrades for thousands of public
buildings were approved by voters. Measures 15 and 16 allow
the state to issue bonds to pay for assessments that will
identify buildings at high-risk to earthquake damage and necessary
retrofits. The measures allow the state to move forward on
emergency services buildings and public schools only.
While both measures were approved
comfortably, they received the most support in the urban counties
of western Oregon. Pre-election campaigns were low-key and
without television advertisements. Voter approval is evidence
of the growing awareness of the dangers posed by seismicity
in Oregon. Increasingly, geologists are mapping new faults
and detecting evidence of substantial earthquakes in the recent
geologic past. Scientists now conclude that Oregon could potentially
be hit by a major earthquake at any time.
WASHINGTON STATE
While Seattle voters bucked the
statewide trend, authorizing a plan for a $1.75-billion, 14-mile-long
monorail, state officials must now go back to the drawing
board for transportation funding.
Governor Gary Locke noted his disappointment
with the election results but vowed to begin work on a new
transportation package that addresses voters' cost and accountability
concerns. "Hundreds of thousands of people across the state
said they want transportation improvements; they just didn't
want the package that was on the ballot," Locke said.
Douglas B. MacDonald, secretary
of the Washington State Department of Transportation, says
the Nov. 5 vote will effectively terminate the handful of
"megaprojects" under way in Washington, including replacement
of Seattle's aging and seismically vulnerable downtown waterfront
viaduct, construction of a new floating bridge across Lake
Washington and a planned widening of Interstate 405---all
billion-dollar projects. It will also cost the transportation
department 600 jobs over the next two years.
"As a practical matter, this means
there is not going to be any new construction in the state
in the next biennium," says James Metcalf, former manager
of public involvement for United Infrastructure Washington
Inc., the Bechtel/Kiewit joint venture building the Tacoma
Narrows Bridge.
"The immediate impact, for firms
like ourselves, is that a lot of projects are either going
to be put on hold or greatly reduced in terms of their scope
and budget," says Jared A. Smith, vice president and area
manager for Parsons Brinckerhoff.
Parsons was part of a business
coalition that raised more than $4 million in support of the
transportation referendum. It also now has a contract to manage
environmental impact statement preparation and preliminary
design for the Alaskan Way Viaduct, a planned $10 billion
project that Smith says is now on a back burner. "We are looking
at a cutback in the project of at least two-thirds," says
Smith. "It will be a dramatic reduction."
"Essentially, DOT is now down to
a preservation and maintenance mode," says Metcalf. "They'll
be laying off 600 people over the next two years. This was
a serious setback. "The only projects in the state now are
Sound Transit (Seattle light-rail) and the Tacoma Narrows
Bridge (an $820 million project). It's a crying shame the
legislature didn't pass a transportation package when they
had the opportunity to do so."
Smith says the overall impact of
the I-776, the rollback of license fees, will be $1.3 billion
over the next 10 years."It will have a dramatic impact on
city and county highway programs. Seattle is looking at a
nine percent reduction, the county, likewise."
The $7.8 billion gas tax referendum
was to have been paired with a proposed $11-billion regional
transportation package that was to go before Seattle-area
voters in May. Whether that package will now go to voters
is uncertain. There also is talk of sending a revised R-51
back to voters in the spring. But backers are disillusioned
by last week's vote, say sources, and will be reluctant to
spend additional time and money if the odds of passage don't
improve.
The present monorail connects downtown
Seattle to the Space Needle, a roughly 3-minute ride that
is primarily a tourist attraction. The proposed expansion
will connect Ballard, West Seattle, downtown, the stadiums
and Seattle Center. If approved, engineering, design and permitting
is expected to take about two years and construction another
two, according to Elevated Transportation Company, the force
behind the measure. While this first expansion is about 14
miles, the long-term vision is for a 58-mile network.
NEVADA
Nevada voters passed initiatives
that will fund school and transportation projects, particularly
in fast growing Washoe County. The county school district
won a bond measure that will raise up to $309 million for
the acquisition, construction, improvement and equipping of
school facilities. The bonds won't increase of the existing
school bond property tax rate of $0.38 cents per $100 of assessed
property value. The bond authorization will expire November
5, 2012.
Student enrollment in Washoe County
has grown from approximately 40,000 to 57,600 students within
the past 10 years, and is projected to increase by approximately
22,600 additional students by 2012. Unless funds for capital
improvements are provided, the continued growth will surpass
the District's ability to provide seats for students or to
modernize and upgrade existing schools. Critics want the District
to address projected enrollment growth by maximizing the usage
of existing classroom space through year-round schools, double
sessions and bigger class sizes.
But voters failed to approve a
question that sought an exemption from the state debt limit
for school construction. Currently, Nevada's Constitution
limits the amount it can borrow to 2% of its assessed land
value, reducing its loan capacity. Proponents claim that several
state school districts lack the monies needed to build additional
school facilities and repair/expand existing ones. Since there
is a loan limit, the state is reluctant to issue bonds (or
borrow) for school construction. The exemption would allow
the state to bond for school construction without prohibiting
its debt capacity for other public works projects. Critics
say that a waiver could lead the state to take on too much
debt, potentially creating an additional tax burden.
Voters did approve a question that
asks the legislature for more transportation monies. Through
2030, there has been a $820 million shortfall in funding for
necessary transportation improvements. Meanwhile, travel in
Washoe County has doubled in the last 20 years to nearly 3
billion miles annually and will double again by 2030.
A Regional Transportation Plan
calls for new roads, expansions and upgrades financed through
a inflation rate increases for developer impact fees and fuel
taxes, plus a 1/8-cent sales tax increase. Twenty years of
under-funded repairs led to a $110 million backlog in major
rehabilitation in 1990, which grew to $242 million by 2002.
If the trend continues, the RTC estimates a $1 .6 billion
backlog by 2030. Critics charged that the funding package
is impractical and gives too much latitude to the tax structure.
Voters also approved an initiative
that asks the legislature for tax increases to raise $2.7
billion over 25 years for roadway and transit improvements.
Monies would come from increased developer fees, plus jet
aviation fuel and retail tax increases of 1/4 of 1%. An estimated
1,000 new residents join the 1.5 million people in Clark County
every week, bringing with them 750 vehicles. Population projections
over the next 20 years could see Clark County swell to 2.6
million residents. The RTC proposes to build 425 new high-speed
lane miles, improve traffic synchronization, add more bus
routes, and expedite the completion of Interstate 215, also
known as the Las Vegas Beltway.
UTAH
More than 68% of state voters rejected
State Initiative #1, which would have created the Radioactive
Waste Restrictions Act, which would raise industry taxes and
outlaw dumping of hotter radioactive waste than what is already
allowed by the state.
Envirocare in remote Tooele County
is the only radioactive waste company in the state and consequently
the sole company that would be subject to the new tax. Envirocare
is pursuing a state permit to take waste that is more radioactive
that what they already receive.
This measure would raise taxes
on the low-radioactivity waste already permitted, and direct
a portion of tax revenues from hot waste to public school
and homeless programs. It would change the tax on low level
nuclear waste from about 35 cents per cubic foot to up to
$150 per cubic foot. The initiative would also bar Envirocare
from accepting any wastes hotter than the class A wastes -
mostly contaminated soils - the company currently accepts.
Envirocare is one of three disposal firms in the country for
commercially produced, low-level radioactive waste. Industry
opponents say Utah has become a magnet for radioactive waste
because of low taxes on radioactive waste disposal.
COLORADO
Colorado voters also displayed
their tax wariness. Those in Boulder County rejected Issue
#1B, whick requested the authority to increase sales and use
taxes by .25%, starting in 2004 and ending June 30, 2023,
in order to raise $14 million annually to pay for transportation
projects. Half of the funds will be used for highway improvements
and the other half for transit improvements. Proponents argued
that the funds collected would be used to speed up projects
that might otherwise not be completed for decades. In addition,
it will encourage matching funds investments from state and
federal agencies and create jobs. Also defeated was Fort Collins
Issue #2C, which sought to increase sales and use taxes by
.25% and create a 1% excise tax on building permits to finance
transportation improvements. "Generally, when you tell people
what specific projects they're being asked to support; they're
usually supportive of that," says Jay Lower, president of
the Colorado Contractors Association, Denver. "I wonder if
people are taking a more cautious attitude during our economic
situation and waiting until it rebounds. We did support the
Fort Collins Issue #2C, which is undergoing a recount."
Meanwhile, gubernatorial results
on Nov. 5 will also play a role in future work. The reelection
of George Pataki (R-N.Y.) could now spur New York City transit
work. "This is likely to be his last term," says one source.
"He will want to have a legacy." In Georgia, observers are
wondering about projects with Gov. Roy Barnes' defeat. "It's
likely to cause delays, especially to the [$2.2-billon] Northern
Arc, a very marketable job" says Skanska's Eastwood.
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