FIRST IN A SERIES Celebrating the 50th Anniversary
of the U.S. Interstate Highway System
At 50 years, the
Interstate systemand the U.S. highway building industry
in generalfaces a mid-life crisis. The nations
population and number of vehicle miles traveled are increasing,
yet the purchasing power of the highway trust funds
fuel tax revenue is decreasing. This is one 50-year-old entity
with clogged arteries and a dwindling pension plan.
But private investors are ready
to help whip the highway system into shape. As the next half-century
of road work moves forward, road-use fees and private-sector
investors will play ever-stronger roles. Tolling, rejected
for the Interstates creation, may be responsible for
much of its rebirth. Development concessions and private-public
partnerships (PPP) will spur more design-build and partnering.
These emerging trends are born
of necessity. We are truly in a mobility crisis,
says Geoff Yarema, partner with Los Angeles-based Nossaman
Guthner Knox Elliott LLP. We cannot do anything that
will have much of an impact in the next decade. We will endure
and hope we can prepare for the decade or two after that.
The current $283-billion SAFETEA-LU
Act falls short of whats needed just to maintain existing
networks. As the U.S. population swells, decreasing
congestion is almost too ambitious a goal, says Mike
Carragher, transportation senior vice president for Vanasse
Hangen Brustlin Inc., Watertown, Mass. Were trying
to build a 21st-Century transportation system but were
currently doing it with an Eisenhower-era funding mechanism.
So state agencies are turning to
innovative funding methods, which often just involve
different ways of borrowing rather than a truly different
source of revenue, says Charlie Howard, transportation
and planning director for the Puget Sound Regional Council,
a metropolitan planning agency based in Seattle.
Tolling. Illinois
has an ambitious toll construction program, with design-build
contracts.
The agency is studying new ways
to charge user fees, such as using Global Positioning System
technology. In a study due to end in March, it outfitted 500
volunteers cars with GPS devices. Each has a virtual
bank account from which money is deducted based on driving
patterns. The hope is that variable tolls, based on time of
day and route, may alter driving habits and raise money for
construction. This and other ideas, such as Illinois
open tolling program, may help manage demand and raise revenue.
Not that the trust fund is going
away any time soon. The gas tax is the bedrock for the
federal highway program and quite a few state programs,
says Jack Basso, director of business development for the
American Association of State Highway & Transportation
Officials. That will continue at least through 2015.
Its a fundamental tool. But Basso and others agree
that the fuel tax just isnt enough. With inflation,
the purchasing power of the current 18.3¢ gas tax will
be worth only 13.5¢ in 2009.
Warne
The highway trust fund is
at a crossroads of historic proportions, says Tom Warne,
a South Jordan, Utah-based transportation consultant. We
cant keep spending the trust-fund money at current levels
without it going into negative balance. Raising taxes
in 2008 will be tough, and Warne predicts the next highway
bill will only keep the status quo. States will not
be able to build future programs based on a big funding bump
in 2009, he warns.
This looming shortage has motivated
federal and state leaders to embrace alternative funding methods.
New state PPP legislation has allowed Georgia Transportation
Partnersa team of San Francisco-based Bechtel Corp.,
Peachtree, Ga.-based Gilbert Southern Corp., and Marietta,
Ga.-based C.W. Matthews Contracting Co.to propose 26
miles of Atlanta-area Interstate expansion in new toll roads,
truck-only toll lanes and/or congestion-priced tolling.
Dave Bauer, senior vice president
of government relations for the American Road and Transportation
Builders Association, says a reauthorization task force is
working to develop a consensus on financing methods and policy
reforms. SAFETEA-LU expanded innovative finance and
nontraditional ways of funding, but not far enough,
he says. For example, a just-published set of guidelines in
the Federal Register allows private-sector tax-exempt bonds
to be used for transportation projects, but caps the total
at $15 billion. Going forward, we need to make private
activity bonds permanent and without a cap, says Yarema.
Under SAFETEA-LU, Nevada received
a five-year, $1.3-billion allocation, says Jeff Fontaine,
Nevada Dept. of Transportation director. Thats a 30.1%
funding increase over the previous bill, but it will still
fall $4 billion short of the states needs over the next
10 years. Gov. Kenny Guinn (R) created a task force to study
funding options and will report to the state Transportation
Board in July. The blue ribbon task force is exploring
public-private partnerships and managed lanes, says
Fontaine. The biggest learning curve is the whole financial
package.
To address that learning curve,
some states plan PPP seminars. State DOTs are trying
to get a groundswell of support to effect legislation for
PPPs and design-build, says David Palmer, infrastructure
principal in Arups New York City office. Weve
seen more activity in the past year than wed seen in
the past decade.
Foreign development concessionaires view the U.S. highway
market as a ripe investment opportunity. Weve
been looking globally at infrastructure since the 1990s,
says Christopher Leslie, managing director of Australias
Macquarie Securities (USA) Inc. We looked at the U.S.
as a very large market but [not] accustomed to our funding
techniques. Its taken the last five years to educate
the market.
Leslie says its too early
to predict how much private sector road investment will catch
on in the U.S., but notes that states like Texas and Virginia
have made great strides in PPP. Virginia is reviewing
private-sector proposals for a $1-billion, 50-year contract
to operate the Dulles Toll Road. And two consortiums have
proposed adding lanes to I-81, with tolls to pay for the work.
A lot of states are looking at the I-81...
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